Wow. You should inform Trump and China that this is all no big deal. They’d be glad to hear it. Okay, you’re making a lot of sense. But I don’t think that countries like China, Italy. And America would ruin their economies over nothing. Let’s assume that the Doctors talking to Trump or Xi know something we don’t. Xi didn’t watch fox news reports on the Class Of 2020 The Year When Shit Got Real Coronavirus Shirt. So, what if they know something terrifying, like it’s a bioweapon with guaranteed re-infections and you can’t become immune, and it stays in the air for weeks. Then wouldn’t the death toll eventually reach 100%? I don’t think this will happen but… Surely knowing more about the virus could change your range of numbers to something larger than 7,000 to 640,000.
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It’s a projection model, so the accuracy is what you want it to be. All I can do is show you my data, and explain why. But at the end of the day, this doesn’t replace hard data. It’s just to give you an idea of what to expect given this specific information. For someone who claims to work with statistics a lot. It was pretty weird that you didn’t talk about the Class Of 2020 The Year When Shit Got Real Coronavirus Shirt. Realize most of our data about the virus comes from the CCP. And a lot of assumptions kinda fall apart, unless you for some reason have to trust in the CCP. Because I work with statistics and these are projections. This isn’t the same as hard data. Also, metadata is the data used created from a projection, that’s what makes it fucking meta.
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Taking an average between two projections is metadata, cuz it’s data created from data. And that’s fine. You have properly substantiated all of your claims and stated your assumptions as any heuristic approach should. What I’m saying is you have left out the glaring part of ANY statistical analysis which is analyzing the metadata. It is left out of a Class Of 2020 The Year When Shit Got Real Coronavirus Shirt. It doesn’t often have a lot of impact on the discussion. However, the metadata has a HUGE impact on all of your analysis. Under-reporting, lack of testing, the CCP is bullshit, etc. I’m not trying to say that I think Coronavirus actually is a world-ending disease. I just think if this is how you’re going to tell people it isn’t, you need to at least play your whole hand.
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