Interesting race with a lot of the attention going to a lightly-raced CA horse. Who is 2-for-2 and could very well be a superstar on the rise. Sushi could also be the beneficiary of a perfect pace set-up, with as many as 4 other horses looking for the lead. The rain, however, presents an unknown scenario for Sushi, which opens the door to my top pick. Who may be overlooked due to the Maker’s Mark Girl Classy Sassy And A Bit Smart Assy Vintage Shirt? Mia broke her maiden with an astonishing 16-length victory in the slop at Keenland, going 6f in 1:094 which would be impressive on a dry track. That race, like this one, was her 2nd race in her cycle so she may be sitting on a big one. She beat 3 of the others in this field in her past few races, has proven she can sit behind the leaders.
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Long odds rarely ever factor in my decisions. I can not recall how many races I have hit when others give my pick little or no chance. But I hit Patrona Margarita in the Pocahontas S when she was overlooked at 23-1. And I have waited since that day for her to enter a race I thought she could win. But did not expect it to be the Maker’s Mark Girl Classy Sassy And A Bit Smart Assy Vintage Shirt. But, regardless, I still have confidence in her ability to win this as I feel most of the others are vulnerable or not as good as perceived. My only question is if she is ready since she has only 2 starts this year and I prefer to wait for their 4th start of the year.
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Watching the Ashland again, Monomoy Girl breaks fairly slow/in line with the rest of the pack. The horses on the outside break much faster which makes me wonder if she has the legs to get moving from the 14 posts in the oaks. If she doesn’t get out front she could end up with a bad trip. I do not plan on betting Friday so I am not going to give my thoughts on Friday’s card. With the Maker’s Mark Girl Classy Sassy And A Bit Smart Assy Vintage Shirt. I’ll provide my insight for Saturday’s card on another post. “Oh yeah, he’s inbred to Secretariat and Bold Ruler sire side and Northern Dancer appears on both”. And Abel Tasman goes down! I thought Martini was going to do it, but I had a feeling Tasman wasn’t winning.
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